A cold spell soon to replace global warming

Oleg Sorokhtin reports via Russian Information Agency that a cold spell will soon replace global warming.

Earth is now at the peak of one of its passing warm spells. It started in the 17th century when there was no industrial influence on the climate to speak of and no such thing as the hothouse effect. The current warming is evidently a natural process and utterly independent of hothouse gases.

Ok, this is true, but

The real reasons for climate changes are uneven solar radiation, terrestrial precession (that is, axis gyration), instability of oceanic currents, regular salinity fluctuations of the Arctic Ocean surface waters, etc. There is another, principal reason—solar activity and luminosity. The greater they are the warmer is our climate.

Hold on, your telling me the sun, that big ball in the sky warms things like the Earth. Ok, I will accept this for now, but doesn't a gas, like CO2, which is currently at 383 ppm (parts per million) of the Earth's atmosphere have more effect than the sun which has 98% of the mass in the solar system and would hold 1.3 million Earths in it. Come on, what has more effect, the huge hot sun or 383 ppm CO2?

The temperature of the troposphere, the lowest and densest portion of the atmosphere, does not depend on the concentration of greenhouse gas emissions—a point proved theoretically and empirically. True, probes of Antarctic ice shield, taken with bore specimens in the vicinity of the Russian research station Vostok, show that there are close links between atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide and temperature changes. Here, however, we cannot be quite sure which is the cause and which the effect. Temperature fluctuations always run somewhat ahead of carbon dioxide concentration changes. This means that warming is primary. The ocean is the greatest carbon dioxide depository, with concentrations 60-90 times larger than in the atmosphere. When the ocean’s surface warms up, it produces the “champagne effect.” Compare a foamy spurt out of a warm bottle with wine pouring smoothly when served properly cold.

So you expect me to believe that the sun causes increases in CO2 and not that CO2 causes warming regardless of the sun.

Likewise, warm ocean water exudes greater amounts of carbonic acid, which evaporates to add to industrial pollution—a factor we cannot deny. However, man-caused pollution is negligible here. If industrial pollution with carbon dioxide keeps at its present-day 5-7 billion metric tons a year, it will not change global temperatures up to the year 2100. The change will be too small for humans to feel even if the concentration of greenhouse gas emissions doubles.

But I feel the warming now due to that bad, bad gas called CO2.

Carbon dioxide cannot be bad for the climate. On the contrary, it is food for plants, and so is beneficial to life on Earth. Bearing out this point was the Green Revolution—the phenomenal global increase in farm yields in the mid-20th century. Numerous experiments also prove a direct proportion between harvest and carbon dioxide concentration in the air.

Hold on now, I must protest. Are you saying plants grow better when it is warmer and more CO2 is in the atmosphere? How preprosterous?

Carbon dioxide has quite a different pernicious influence—not on the climate but on synoptic activity. It absorbs infrared radiation. When tropospheric air is warm enough for complete absorption, radiation energy passes into gas fluctuations. Gas expands and dissolves to send warm air up to the stratosphere, where it clashes with cold currents coming down. With no noticeable temperature changes, synoptic activity skyrockets to whip up cyclones and anticyclones. Hence we get hurricanes, storms, tornados and other natural disasters, whose intensity largely depends on carbon dioxide concentration. In this sense, reducing its concentration in the air will have a positive effect.

See I told you that CO2 levels caused Katrina. Oh, yeah, that's right, warming precedes CO2 increases. Warming causes a "champagne effect" of CO2 from the oceans.

Carbon dioxide is not to blame for global climate change. Solar activity is many times more powerful than the energy produced by the whole of humankind. Man’s influence on nature is a drop in the ocean.

So what your are saying is that man-made CO2 is only a drop in the bucket to CO2 produced from the ocean by warming temperatures which are dependent on solar activity by the sun (which will hold 1.3 million Earths).

Earth is unlikely to ever face a temperature disaster. Of all the planets in the solar system, only Earth has an atmosphere beneficial to life. There are many factors that account for development of life on Earth: Sun is a calm star, Earth is located an optimum distance from it, it has the Moon as a massive satellite, and many others. Earth owes its friendly climate also to dynamic feedback between biotic and atmospheric evolution.

So we don't have to spend trillions of dollars to decrease CO2 which will really have no effect anyway?

The principal among those diverse links is Earth’s reflective power, which regulates its temperature. A warm period, as the present, increases oceanic evaporation to produce a great amount of clouds, which filter solar radiation and so bring heat down. Things take the contrary turn in a cold period.

Ok, now you have gone too far. Warming produces clouds which then reflect sunlight and cause cooling? Hold on, that makes sense. I am sorry, I missed that. You also said that all global warming predictions do not include cloud cover. Well that is stupid.

What can’t be cured must be endured. It is wise to accept the natural course of things. We have no reason to panic about allegations that ice in the Arctic Ocean is thawing rapidly and will soon vanish altogether. As it really is, scientists say the Arctic and Antarctic ice shields are growing. Physical and mathematical calculations predict a new Ice Age. It will come in 100,000 years, at the earliest, and will be much worse than the previous. Europe will be ice-bound, with glaciers reaching south of Moscow.

So, let me get this straight. That big ball called the sun and its solar activity heats everything in our solar system to include Earth. This heating causes a Champagne effect releasing CO2 from the ocean. Our measly 383 ppm of CO2 in the atmosphere pales in comparison to the 60-90 times CO2 trapped in the ocean. And the reason life on Earth has existed for about 4 billion years is because we are at the optimal distance from the sun, we have a large satellite called the Moon, and cloud cover causes a feedback loop that is not taken into account in climate predictions.

But that means I don't have to worry about global warming. But now, I am afraid of global cooling.