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Afghanistan

Taliban in search of a winning formula

Asia Times Online has an interesting article/interview with one of the top 10 Taliban commanders in Afghanistan, Mullah Gul Mohammed Jangvi. He states:
"In the recent past we tried to attack Kandahar airport and US military bases. This is aimed at rooting out American air power in these stations so that they would not be able to shield their ground troops in a short span of time. In the coming days you will see more and more attacks on airfields, and once air cover vanishes from over the heads of coalition troops, they will be trapped everywhere like sitting ducks."
The Asia Time Online points out though:
Despite Jangvi's optimism, though, the fact is that the Taliban have only inflicted about 100 casualties on coalition forces in the past three months, while the body count of Taliban and civilians in southwestern Afghanistan, most of them Taliban supporters, is estimated at more than 2,000.
A few points in this article are key.
  • The Taliban are organizing and are organized to such an extent that they are able to mount offensives in Afghanistan.
  • The Taliban have lost significant fighting strength.
  • The Taliban are obviously accord American airpower the prime reason for their loses.
  • Therefore, the Taliban are beginning to focus on American airpower/bases.
  • The Taliban will need to expend significant energy/personnel to attack and destroy American airbases.
  • Loses thus far has not resulted in unity among the Taliban, but instead infighting.
  • If the Taliban are able to unify and mount a large scale attack, a significant threat awaits them on a heavily defended airbase in terms of American Infantry, Tanks, Helicopters, and Airplanes while they are exposed on open terrain around the airbase.

I have only one thing to say from a military perspective, "Bring it on." A large scale attack against Bagram and/or Kandahar airbases would put the Taliban at a severe disadvantage where not only airplanes but heavy armor could be brought to bear on them. They have been unable to hold a single piece of ground since 2001, minus the mountainous region between along the Afghanistan and Pakistan border. Attacking the airbases would certainly cause insurgents to lose faith in the Taliban commanders and the Taliban cause in general.

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