Rather than Iraq, it could be Syria that ends up collapsing.
Nonstop Turbulence
Robert D. Kaplan, WSJ Original Article
Between the creation of the State of Israel in 1948 and the toppling of Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq in 2003 the political geography of the Middle East remained mostly fixed in the Cold War ice. Vast social, demographic and economic changes that swept through the region for decades barely registered upon its highly centralized dictatorships, run by emergency laws enacted as far back as the 1950s. By leveling one of these regimes, and then brazenly confronting the insurgency that followed, President George W. Bush has set the other regimes in motion for the first time in half a century. Democracy doesn't begin to describe the changes that will follow, as the geographic realities of older eras reassert themselves.
Robert D. Kaplan, WSJ Original Article
Between the creation of the State of Israel in 1948 and the toppling of Saddam Hussein's regime in Iraq in 2003 the political geography of the Middle East remained mostly fixed in the Cold War ice. Vast social, demographic and economic changes that swept through the region for decades barely registered upon its highly centralized dictatorships, run by emergency laws enacted as far back as the 1950s. By leveling one of these regimes, and then brazenly confronting the insurgency that followed, President George W. Bush has set the other regimes in motion for the first time in half a century. Democracy doesn't begin to describe the changes that will follow, as the geographic realities of older eras reassert themselves.
posted by Lieutenant Colonel Caveman at Sunday, March 20, 2005
1 Comments:
Robert Kaplan fan? What should we ask him this Sunday on C-Span? Email your comments to:
http://www.cominganarchy.com/archives/2005/03/31/robert-d-kaplan-alert/
Warmly,
Curzon
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